Methods and forecasting basic placement options and the development of crop production in the region

Abstract

Purpose: predicting the location and development of crop products industry. Discussion: the development of techniques used methods of correlation and regression analysis, trend and simulation and scenario analysis. The use of simulation scenario forecasting allows for a higher probability of developing effective solutions as part of the strategy of development of agriculture and its separate branches. To solve the problem of distribution of agricultural production in developing a system of effective forecasting and planning should be based on the integrated use of both mathematical and expert methods. Results: we developed a method for predicting the location and development of crop production. The authors performed forecast of basic location and corn production development confirm an applicability of developed technique.