Анализ влияния внешних факторов на экономическую безопасность, развитие СФБ и экономики РФ

Марина Викторовна Данилина; Алексей Николаевич Литвинов; Лариса Александровна Данченок; Александр Лукьянович Баранников; Сергей Михайлович Любкин; Екатерина Валерьевна Суркова

doi:10.17308/meps.2016.10/1521

Authors

Марина Викторовна Данилина Plekhanov Russian University of Economics, Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation
Алексей Николаевич Литвинов Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation
Лариса Александровна Данченок Russian Economic University after G.V. Plekhanov , Plekhanov Russian University of Economics
Александр Лукьянович Баранников The Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration , The Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Сергей Михайлович Любкин Plekhanov Russian University of Economics, Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation
Екатерина Валерьевна Суркова Moscow Aviation Institute (National Research University)

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.17308/meps.2016.10/1521

Keywords:

sovereign wealth funds, , the Reserve Fund and the National Welfare Fund, the economy, the price of oil, oil, Russia, prices for hydrocarbons, sanctions

Abstract

analysis of the factors affecting the performance of economic development of Russia, the formation, development, management and investment of the Reserve Fund and National Welfare Fund. Discussion: the authors compared the effect of oil prices and sanctions on the Russian economy. According to the author's estimates, the sanctions without the fall in oil prices would reduce the investment in fixed assets by 3.2% in 2014-2017., And the decline in oil prices without sanctions would lead to a reduction in investments by 22.6%, while under the influence of the two shocks investment will be below 24%. Results: we presented the analysis of sources of funding the budget deficit. It was found that under conditions of lower oil prices on the world market means Russian sovereign funds should be reduced, at the same time the development of new sources of financing involves new risks.