Модель оценки эффективности методов устранения рисков функционирования сложных системы

Abstract

The article proposes a model for determining of the analytical risk indicators, that can serve as integral assessments of risk events that can potentially seriously affect the effectiveness of the system. This model considers many criteria for evaluating external and internal factors of probable risk events and can be used for the solving of multi-criteria tasks of risk definition. It also realizes an algorithm for evaluating the difficulty of risk minimization, considering multi-criteria, using parameters of “difficult of achieving the goal”. The proposed assessments are dimensionless indicators, so they can be used in systems of various types. The obtained data can be used by making decisions about the acceptability of risks, when choosing between potential measures to reduce or eliminate risks.