Risks reduction based on economic analysis before forecast

Abstract

Purpose: Article is dedicated to the development and adaptation of mathematical and instrumental methods of analysis and risk management through forecasting the dynamics of indicators Discussion: This article discusses the ways to reduce the financial, economic and social risks on the basis of an accurate prediction. We have studied the importance of natural time series of winter wheat yield, minimum winter, winter-spring daily temperatures. Results: Feature of the time series of this class disobey a normal distribution, there is no visible trend.