Forecasting level of profitability of agricultural production of Lipetsk region on the basis of the mechanism of formation of adaptive expectancy

Abstract

the author studies the formation mechanism of models with adaptive expectation. The writer shows the mechanism of their application for assessment the activities of the agricultural complex in the region on example data of the agricultural complex effectiveness in the Lipetsk region. Discussion : the author considers the mechanism for construction of forecasting models based on adaptive expectations hypothesizes and the possibility of their wide application for forecasting the activities of the agricultural complex of the region. Results : the author proposed a mechanism for assessment the agricultural complex of the region with the use of adaptive expectations models. The results of the conducted studies confirmed the possibility of wide practical use of the developed models for assessment the agricultural complex of the region.