Organization’s crisis situation modeling on the basis of logistic regression with the application of harington’s function

Abstract

Purpose : organization’s crisis modelling. Discussion : our model based on logistic regression. Dependent dichotomy variable is determined by the saturation area in harington’s function. crisis resistance indicators, grouped by investment, business, ecological, information, market, social and financial fields of crisis used as independent variables in this model. r esults : the authors provide an organization stochastic model allowed to diagnose the stage of strategic crisis. this case corresponds to lower saturation region of harrington function and to high risk of insolvency. We present model verification results obtained by economic and social activities of consumer cooperatives data of the belgorod region.