Analysis and forecasting of the development of socio-economic processes

Abstract

Purpose: the research proposed by the authors clearly demonstrates an integrated approach to analysis and forecasting in matters of managerial decision-making in the insurance business, taking into account the fact that insurance companies have support in the form of laws and decisions adopted at the state level. Discussion: using the complex mechanism of the operation algorithms of phase analysis and linear cellular automaton and the use of methods of visualization and analysis of data by the authors clearly shows the synergetic effect obtained from the study of complex socio-economic processes in the context of the results of the triad: the initial time series, a number of its increments and aggregated data. Results: the practical implementation of complex economic and mathematical forecasting models on the basis data of the existing insurance company showed, demonstrated its usefulness in terms of planning their activities, analyzing and implementing new approaches and technologies for sales of insurance products.