Decomposition multi-criteria approach to the analysis of time series of tourist flows

Abstract

Purpose: this article proposes the use of mathematical methods of decomposition and two-level modeling in the development and adaptation of mathematical methods and models of multi-criteria approach for the analysis of time series of tourist flows. Discussion: the authors study the values of the data of the time series of tourist flow to the ski village Dombay Karachay-Cherkess Republic. The multilevel approach is due to the fact that the initial statistics include time series of rapidly changing indicators. Such data is fundamentally unacceptable to use the average of their numerical values. In virtue of this fact becomes objective due to the necessity of finding new methods and approaches to modeling and representation of the resulting predictive system estimates characterizing the dynamics of a visit to the tourist area. Results: this article reveals the economic attractiveness of the tourist destination of village Dombai on the basis of multi-criteria research methods.