The Role of Climatic Factors in the Spread of Natural Focal Tick-Borne Infections in the Conditions of Climate Change in the North-West of Russia
Keywords:
natural focal infections, consequences of climate change, Northwest region of the Russian Federation, neighboring European countries
Abstract
The purpose of this work is to study the dynamics of tick-borne infections morbidity in the North-West of the Russian Federation (detailed epidemiological characteristics on the example of Kaliningrad region) with a focus on the role of modern climatic changes and adaptation to them. Materials and methods. The study is based on the long-term monitoring of the incidence of tick-borne infections among the population of the Russian Federation, its separate regions including Kaliningrad region. We analyzed the long-term data on the average annual number, territorial and temporal distribution of the ticks', standardized indices of the incidence of tick-borne encephalitis (BE) and ixodine boreliosis (IBD); used statistical methods of time series studies with identification of trends and climate change anomalies. Results and discussion. The consequences of rapid climate variability affect the habitats of vectors and conditions of natural focal diseases, including tick-borne infections. Outbreaks of infectious diseases in Kaliningrad Region were registered in years with extremely high average annual air temperatures. At the same time, outbreaks were apparently contributed by climatically warm autumn and very warm winters in 2006-2007 with air temperature anomaly of 4.8°С and in 2014-2015 with air temperature anomalies of 5.1°С Conclusions. In the future the ranges, duration of ticks' season may change, but no statistically significant relationship between the increase in the incidence of tick-borne infections, in particular borreliosis and the average air temperature is found.
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References
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2. Analiz riska zabolevaemosti kleshchevym virusnym encefalitom v rajonah s raznymi klimatogeograficheskimi usloviyami [Analysis of the risk of tick-borne viral encephalitis in areas with different climatogeographic conditions] / N. K. Tokarevich, A. A. Tronin, R. V. Buzinov i dr. Analiz riska zdorov'yu, 2020, no. 4, pp. 127-135. (In Russ.)
3. Barinova G. M., Kohanovskaya M. I. Izmenenie klimata i dinamika prirodnoochagovoj zabolevaemosti naseleniya Kaliningradskoj oblasti [Climate change and the dynamics of the natural focal morbidity of the population of the Kaliningrad region]. Vestnik Baltijskogo universiteta im. I. Kanta, 2011, No7, pp. 36-44. (In Russ.)
4. Iksodovye kleshchi Karelii: (Rasprostranenie, ekologiya, kleshchevye infekcii): uchebno-metodicheskoe posobie KarNTsRAN, institut biologii [Ixode mites of Karelia: (Distribution, ecology, tick-borne infections): educational and methodical manual of Karntsran, Institute of Biology] / L. A. Bespyatova, S. V. Bugmyrin. Petrozavodsk, 2012. 97 p. (In Russ.)
5. Isachenko G. A. Mnogoletnyaya dinamika landshaftov Severo-Zapadnogo Priladozh'ya po dannym stacionarnyh nablyudenij [Long-term dynamics of landscapes of the North-Western Ladoga region according to stationary observations]. Vestnik Sankt-Peterburgskogo universiteta. Nauki o Zemle, 2018, vol. 63, v. 1, pp. 3-21. (In Russ.)
6. Kaliningradskaya oblast'. Prirodnye usloviya i resursy: racional'noe ispol'zovanie i ohrana: monografiya [Kaliningrad region. Natural conditions and resources: rational use and protection: monograph] / G. M. Fedorov. Kaliningrad: Izdatel'stvo BFU im. I. Kanta, 2016. 224 p. (In Russ.)
7. Korenberg E. I. Ekologicheskie predposylki vozmozhnogo vliyaniya izmeneniya klimata na prirodnye ochagi i ih epidemicheskoe proyavlenie [Ecological prerequisites for the possible impact of climate change on natural foci and their epidemic manifestation]. Izmenenie klimata i zdorov'e Rossii v XXI v., 2004, pp. 54-66. (In Russ.)
8. Malhazova S. M., Mironova V. A. Problema novyh i vozvrashchayushchihsya infekcij: zadachi mediko-geograficheskogo izucheniya [The problem of new and returning infections: the tasks of medical and geographical study]. Vestnik Voronezhskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta. Seria: Geografia. Geoekologia, 2017, no. 1, pp. 21-31. (in Russ.)
9. Mamchic L. P., Bortnovskij V. N., Chajkovskaya M. A. Lajm-borrelioz: harakteristika epidemicheskoj situacii v respublike Belarus' [Lyme borreliosis: characteristics of the epidemic situation in the Republic of Belarus]. Vestnik obrazovaniya i razvitiya nauki Rossijskoj akademii estestvennyh nauk, 2017, no. 21 (3), pp. 94-100. (In Russ.)
10. Epidemicheskaya situaciya po kleshchevym nejroinfekciyam v respublike Belarus' v usloviyah global'nogo potepleniya klimata [Epidemic situation of tick-borne neuroinfections in the Republic of Belarus in the context of global climate warming] / N. P. Mishaeva, T. I. Samojlova, N. S. Vereshchako, S. O. Vel'gin. Nacional'nye prioritety Rossii, 2009, no. 2, pp. 52-53. (In Russ.)
11. O koncepcii nacional'nogo segmenta klimaticheskogo obsluzhivaniya v sektore «Zdravoohranenie» Rossijskoj Federacii [About the concept of the national segment of climate services in the Healthcare sector of the Russian Federation] / E. V. Igolkina, V. V. Yasyukevich, I. O. Popov, S. M. Semenov. Gidrometeorologicheskie issledovaniya i prognozy, vol. 3, no. 369, 2018, pp. 131-152. (In Russ.)
12. Prirodnye ochagi kleshchevogo encefalita na severo-zapadnoj periferii obitaniya taezhnogo kleshcha (IX-ODES PERSULCATUS SCHULZE, 1930) [Natural foci of tick-borne encephalitis on the northwestern periphery of the taiga tick habitat (IXODES PERSULCATUS SCHULZE, 1930)] / L. A. Bespyatova, S. V. Bugmyrin, Yu. S. Korotkov, E. P. Ieshko. Trudy Karel'skogo nauchnogo centra RAN, 2009, pp. 96-101. (In Russ.)
13. Revich B. A., Maleev V. V., Smirnova M. D. Izmenenie klimata i zdorov'e: ocenki, indikatory, prognozy [Climate change and health: assessments, indicators, forecasts]. Moscow: INP, 2019. 196 p. (In Russ.)
14. Rubcova I. Yu., Mal'kova I. L. Zabolevaemost' kleshchevym encefalitom i zakleshchevlennost' territorii Udmurtii kak rezul'tat vozdejstviya prirodnyh i antropogennyh faktorov [The incidence of tick-borne encephalitis and the encrustation of the territory of Udmurtia as a result of the impact of natural and anthropogenic factors]. Vestnik Voronezhskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta. Seria: Geografia. Geoekologia, 2017, no. 1, pp. 46-54. (In Russ.)
15. Epidemiologicheskie aspekty bolezni Lajma v Pripyatskom Poles'e [Epidemiological aspects of Lyme disease in Pripyat Polesie] / L. S. Cvirko, N. P. Mishaeva, T. A. Sen'kovec, V. A. Devyatnikova. Vestnik Polesskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta. Seriya prirodovedcheskih nauk, 2013, no. 1, pp. 54-59. (In Russ.)
16. Epidemiologicheskie osobennosti rasprostraneniya kleshchevogo virusnogo encefalita v Arhangel'skoj oblasti [Epidemiological features of the spread of tick-borne viral encephalitis in the Arkhangelsk region] / O. V. Sokolova, V. P. CHashchin, O. N. Popova i dr. Ekologiya cheloveka, 2017, no. 24 (4), pp. 12-19. (In Russ.)
17. Alkishe A. A., Peterson A. T., Samy A. M. Climate change influences on the potential geographic distribution of the disease vector tick Ixodes ricinus. PLoS ONE, 2017, 12(12).
18. Boeckmann M., Joyner T. A. Old health risks in new places? An ecological niche model for I. ricinus tick distribution in Europe under a changing climate. Health & Place, 2014, no. 30, pp. 70-77.
19. Changes in the geographical distribution and abundance of the tick Ixodes ricinus during the past 30 years in Sweden / Jaenson T. G. T., Jaenson D. G. E., Eisen L., Petersson E., Lingren E. Parasites & Vectors, 2012, no. 5 (1).
20. Changing Climatic Boundary Conditions for Ticks in Central Europe / Paeth H., Stender F., Aich V., Mächel H. Advanced science Letters, 2012, no. 5 (1), pp. 149-154.
21. Effects of climate change on ticks and tick-borne diseases in Europe / Gray J. S., Dautel H., Estrada-Peña A., Kahl O., Lindgren E. Interdisciplinary perspectives on infectious diseases, 2009.
22. Effects of global changes on the climatic niche of the tick Ixodes ricinus inferred by species distribution modeling / D. Porretta, V. Mastrantonio, S. Amendolia et al. Parasites & Vectors, 2013, 6 (1).
23. Gaeva D. V., Barinova G. M., & Krasnov E. V. Climate Change and Health. Good Health and Well-Being, 2020, рр. 78-91.
24. Gilbert L. Altitudinal patterns of tick and host abundance: a potential role for climate change in regulating tickborne diseases. Oecologia, 2010, no. 162 (1), рр. 217-25.
25. Habitat properties are key drivers of Borrelia burgdorferi (s.l.) prevalence in Ixodes ricinus populations of deciduous forest fragments / Ehrmann S., Ruyts S. C., Scherer-Lorenzen M. et al. Parasites & Vectors, 2018, no. 11 (1).
26. Multi-source analysis reveals latitudinal and altitudinal shifts in range of Ixodes ricinus at its northern distribution limit / S. Jore, H. Viljugrein, M. Hofshagen et al. Parasites & Vectors, 2011, no. 4 (1).
27. Randolph S. E. Evidence that climate change has caused ‘emergence’of tick-borne diseases in Europe? International Journal of Medical Microbiology Supplements, 2004, no. 293, рр. 5-15.
Published
2023-03-25
How to Cite
Barinova, G. M., Gaeva, D. V., Krasnov, E. V., Romanchuk, A. Y., & Ushakova, L. O. (2023). The Role of Climatic Factors in the Spread of Natural Focal Tick-Borne Infections in the Conditions of Climate Change in the North-West of Russia. Proceedings of Voronezh State University. Series: Geography. Geoecology, (1), 23-34. https://doi.org/10.17308/geo/1609-0683/2023/1/23-34
Section
Geography
