Изменение климата – важнейшая проблема современности
Ключевые слова:
изменение климата, глобальная угроза, региональные прогнозы, цикличность, методы обработки, адаптационные риски, уязвимость
Аннотация
В статье представлен обзор Международной научно-практической конференции «Глобальные климатические изменения: региональные эффекты, модели, прогнозы», которая прошла в октябре 2019 года в Воронежском государственном университете. Освещены разносторонние направления работы конференции и актуальные вопросы, которые обсуждались а процессе работы. Авторы акцентируют внимание на перспективных исследованиях.
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Литература
1. Akimov L. M., Zadorozhnaya T. N., Osobennosti klimaticheskikh tendentsiy atmosfernoy tsirkulyatsii v razlichnykh shirotnykh zonakh severnogo polushariya [Features of climatic trends in atmospheric circulation in various latitudinal zones of the northern hemisphere]. Regional'nye effekty global'nykh izmeneniy klimata (Prichiny, posledstviya, prognozy) : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchnoy konferentsii (Regional effects of global climate change (Causes, consequences, forecasts): proceedings of the International Scientific Conference). Voronezh, Nauchnaya kniga, 2012, pp. 17-22.
2. Akimov L. M., Zadorozhnaya T. N., Zakusilov V. P., Analiz klimaticheskikh parametrov temperatury vozdukha na Evropeyskoy territorii Rossii v letniy period [Analysis of climatic parameters of air temperature in the European territory of Russia in the summer period]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prog- nozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 13-19.
3. Frolova N. L., Analiz izmeneniya stoka rek Evropeyskoy territorii Rossii po distantsionnym i nazemnym dannym [Analysis of river flow changes in the European terri- tory of Russia by remote and ground-based data]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 520-524.
4. Tishchenko V. A. and etc., Vliyanie krupnomasshtabnykh rezhimov tsirkulyatsii atmosfery na formirovanie gidrologicheskikh anomaliy v rechnykh basseynakh na primere basseyna reki Amur [The influence of large-scale atmospheric circulation regimes on the formation of hydro- logical anomalies in river basins by the example of a river basin]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 104-106.
5. Kalinin N. A., Sivkov B. A., Pishchal'nikova E. V., Otsenka termodinamicheskogo sostoyaniya atmosfery prisil'nykh osadkakh na territorii Permskogo kraya s pomoshch'yu parametrov neustoychivosti [Assessment of the thermodynamic state of the atmosphere during heavy precipitation in the Perm Territory using instability paramters]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 43-45.
6. Kattsov V. M., Shkol'nik I. M., Veroyatnostnoe prognozirovanie klimaticheskikh vozdeystviy na ekonomiku Rossii v 21-m veke [Probabilistic forecasting of climate impacts on the Russian economy in the 21st century]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 50-51.
7. Kleshchenko L. K. Tendentsii sovremennykh izmeneniy prodolzhitel'nosti solnechnogo siyaniya na territorii Rossii [Trends in modern changes in the duration of sunshine in Russia]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 53-58.
8. Kononova N. K., Morozova S. V., Polyanskaya E. A., Issledovanie protsessov, formiruyushchikh klimaticheskuyu izmenchivost' na vnutrisezonnykh masshtabakh vremeni [Investigation of the processes that form climate variability on intra-seasonal time scales]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 59-63.
9. Kononova N. K., Morozova S. V., Polyanskaya E. A., Fiziko-statisticheskoe modelirovanie klimaticheskikh protsessov na osnove ucheta obratnykh svyazey [Physico- statistical modeling of climatic processes based on feed- back feedback]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 64-67.
10. Kurolap S. A., Regional'nye izmeneniya klimata i zdorov'e naseleniya: prognoznye otsenki dlya territorii Tsentral'nogo Chernozem'ya [Regional climate change and public health: forecast estimates for the territory of the Central Black Earth Region]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 339-343.
11. Perevedentsev Yu. P. and etc., Regional'nye proyavleniya ekstremal'nosti sovremennogo klimata [Regional manifestations of the extremeness of the modern climate]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: re- gional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1. pp. 247-251.
12. Reteyum A. Yu., Klimaticheskiy otklik na bol'shie solnechnye tsikly [Climatic response to large solar cycles]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 84-88.
13. Reteyum A. Yu., Ivanova A. O., Mal'gina L. O., Katastroficheskie posledstviya izmeneniy klimata u granitsy 1430-letnikh solnechnykh tsiklov. Primer tsivilizatsii Naska [The catastrophic effects of climate change at the border of 1430-year-old solar cycles. An example of Nazca civilization]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 90-91.
14. Snakin V. V., O real'nosti prognozov global'nykh klimaticheskikh izmeneniy [On the reality of forecasts of global climate change]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 92-97.
15. Khan V. M. and etc., Operativnoe meteorologicheskoe prognozirovanie na mesyachnykh i sezonnykh intervalakh vremeni v ramkakh Severo-Evraziyskogo klimaticheskogo tsentra [Operational meteorological forecasting at monthly and seasonal time intervals within the frame-work of the North Eurasian Climate Center]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 107-109.
16. Khromov S. P., Solnechnye tsikly i klimat [Solar cycles and climate]. Meteorologiya i gidrologiya, 1973, No. 9, pp. 93-110.
17. Sherstyukov B. G., Vneshnie faktory i dal'nie asinkhronnye svyazi v klimaticheskoy sisteme kak osnova dlya prognoza prirodnykh kolebaniy temperatury vozdukha na tri desyatiletiya [External factors and long-distance asynchronous communications in the climate system as a basis for forecasting natural fluctuations in air temperature for three decades]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 115-119.
18. Sherstyukov B. G., Perevedentsev Yu. P., Dal'nie asinkhronnye svyazi v dolgoperiodnykh kolebaniyakh klimata Mirovogo okeana i regional'noy atmosfery primenitel'no k Respublike Tatarstan [Long-range asynchronous communications in long-period fluctuations in the climate of the World Ocean and the regional atmosphere as applied to the Republic of Tatarstan]. Vestnik Voronezh- skogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta. Ser. Geografiya. Geoekologiya, 2019, No. 1, pp. 5-11.
2. Akimov L. M., Zadorozhnaya T. N., Zakusilov V. P., Analiz klimaticheskikh parametrov temperatury vozdukha na Evropeyskoy territorii Rossii v letniy period [Analysis of climatic parameters of air temperature in the European territory of Russia in the summer period]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prog- nozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 13-19.
3. Frolova N. L., Analiz izmeneniya stoka rek Evropeyskoy territorii Rossii po distantsionnym i nazemnym dannym [Analysis of river flow changes in the European terri- tory of Russia by remote and ground-based data]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 520-524.
4. Tishchenko V. A. and etc., Vliyanie krupnomasshtabnykh rezhimov tsirkulyatsii atmosfery na formirovanie gidrologicheskikh anomaliy v rechnykh basseynakh na primere basseyna reki Amur [The influence of large-scale atmospheric circulation regimes on the formation of hydro- logical anomalies in river basins by the example of a river basin]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 104-106.
5. Kalinin N. A., Sivkov B. A., Pishchal'nikova E. V., Otsenka termodinamicheskogo sostoyaniya atmosfery prisil'nykh osadkakh na territorii Permskogo kraya s pomoshch'yu parametrov neustoychivosti [Assessment of the thermodynamic state of the atmosphere during heavy precipitation in the Perm Territory using instability paramters]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 43-45.
6. Kattsov V. M., Shkol'nik I. M., Veroyatnostnoe prognozirovanie klimaticheskikh vozdeystviy na ekonomiku Rossii v 21-m veke [Probabilistic forecasting of climate impacts on the Russian economy in the 21st century]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 50-51.
7. Kleshchenko L. K. Tendentsii sovremennykh izmeneniy prodolzhitel'nosti solnechnogo siyaniya na territorii Rossii [Trends in modern changes in the duration of sunshine in Russia]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 53-58.
8. Kononova N. K., Morozova S. V., Polyanskaya E. A., Issledovanie protsessov, formiruyushchikh klimaticheskuyu izmenchivost' na vnutrisezonnykh masshtabakh vremeni [Investigation of the processes that form climate variability on intra-seasonal time scales]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 59-63.
9. Kononova N. K., Morozova S. V., Polyanskaya E. A., Fiziko-statisticheskoe modelirovanie klimaticheskikh protsessov na osnove ucheta obratnykh svyazey [Physico- statistical modeling of climatic processes based on feed- back feedback]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 64-67.
10. Kurolap S. A., Regional'nye izmeneniya klimata i zdorov'e naseleniya: prognoznye otsenki dlya territorii Tsentral'nogo Chernozem'ya [Regional climate change and public health: forecast estimates for the territory of the Central Black Earth Region]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 339-343.
11. Perevedentsev Yu. P. and etc., Regional'nye proyavleniya ekstremal'nosti sovremennogo klimata [Regional manifestations of the extremeness of the modern climate]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: re- gional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1. pp. 247-251.
12. Reteyum A. Yu., Klimaticheskiy otklik na bol'shie solnechnye tsikly [Climatic response to large solar cycles]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 84-88.
13. Reteyum A. Yu., Ivanova A. O., Mal'gina L. O., Katastroficheskie posledstviya izmeneniy klimata u granitsy 1430-letnikh solnechnykh tsiklov. Primer tsivilizatsii Naska [The catastrophic effects of climate change at the border of 1430-year-old solar cycles. An example of Nazca civilization]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 90-91.
14. Snakin V. V., O real'nosti prognozov global'nykh klimaticheskikh izmeneniy [On the reality of forecasts of global climate change]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 92-97.
15. Khan V. M. and etc., Operativnoe meteorologicheskoe prognozirovanie na mesyachnykh i sezonnykh intervalakh vremeni v ramkakh Severo-Evraziyskogo klimaticheskogo tsentra [Operational meteorological forecasting at monthly and seasonal time intervals within the frame-work of the North Eurasian Climate Center]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 107-109.
16. Khromov S. P., Solnechnye tsikly i klimat [Solar cycles and climate]. Meteorologiya i gidrologiya, 1973, No. 9, pp. 93-110.
17. Sherstyukov B. G., Vneshnie faktory i dal'nie asinkhronnye svyazi v klimaticheskoy sisteme kak osnova dlya prognoza prirodnykh kolebaniy temperatury vozdukha na tri desyatiletiya [External factors and long-distance asynchronous communications in the climate system as a basis for forecasting natural fluctuations in air temperature for three decades]. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmeneniya: regional'nye effekty, modeli, prognozy : materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii (Global climate change: regional effects, models, forecasts: materials of the International scientific-practical conference). Voronezh, Tsifrovaya poligrafiya, 2019, Vol. 1, pp. 115-119.
18. Sherstyukov B. G., Perevedentsev Yu. P., Dal'nie asinkhronnye svyazi v dolgoperiodnykh kolebaniyakh klimata Mirovogo okeana i regional'noy atmosfery primenitel'no k Respublike Tatarstan [Long-range asynchronous communications in long-period fluctuations in the climate of the World Ocean and the regional atmosphere as applied to the Republic of Tatarstan]. Vestnik Voronezh- skogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta. Ser. Geografiya. Geoekologiya, 2019, No. 1, pp. 5-11.
Опубликован
2019-10-23
Как цитировать
Чередниченко, А. В., & Чередниченко, В. С. (2019). Изменение климата – важнейшая проблема современности. Вестник ВГУ. Серия: География. Геоэкология, (4), 89-96. https://doi.org/10.17308/geo.2019.4/2719
Раздел
Рецензии, хроника, информация
