• М. В. Симонова Samara State University of Economics
  • А. А. Жукова Samara State University of Economics
Keywords: employment, unemployment, indicators of employment, indicators of unemployment, informal sector of the economy, the level of informal employment, point forecast


The article presents an analysis of the structure of the labor market by the example of the Samara region in the context of identifying trends in informal employment. The study of changes in different employment groups both in Russia and in individual regions made it possible to determine the labor market reserves, to identify the reasons for informal employment and to propose directions for the development of regulation of social and labor relations. To make a forecast of the number of all employed, unemployed and informally employed, a polynomial trend was chosen, since it corresponded to the largest value of the approximation coefficient. To obtain a generalized statistical estimation of the trend, the method of analytical equalization was used. According to the analysis and calculated forecast values ​​ in the short-term period in the Samara region there is an insignificant positive trend in the number of employees. The number of unemployed in recent years has largely declined, but there has been a significant increase in employment in the informal sector, which reduces the effectiveness of the current state employment policy. To change the unfavorable trend, an integrated approach is needed that combines legislative, administrative and economic measures that will stabilize the situation.


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Author Biographies

М. В. Симонова , Samara State University of Economics

Doctor of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor, Head of the Labor Economics and Personnel Management Department

А. А. Жукова, Samara State University of Economics



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How to Cite
Симонова , М. В., & Жукова, А. А. (2018). НЕФОРМАЛЬНАЯ ЗАНЯТОСТЬ НА РЫНКЕ ТРУДА: АНАЛИЗ, ТЕНДЕНЦИИ. Proceedings of Voronezh State University. Series: Economics and Management, (2), 82-89. Retrieved from https://journals.vsu.ru/econ/article/view/2576
Economy of Work and Human Resource Management